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China-Southeast Asia in 2026 Depends on Beijing’s Ability to Rise to the Occasion

Southeast Asia’s relationship with China is set to face a convergence of diplomatic, political, and societal pressures in 2026. While Beijing remains one of the region’s most influential actors, its expanding economic footprint intersects with governance challenges and public discontent in several countries.

Indonesia to Cut Coal Output in 2026 After Export Slump to China and India

Indonesia plans to cut coal production in 2026 after exports to China and India fell sharply last year and prices declined, Indonesian Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Bahlil Lahadalia said. He said Indonesia would reduce coal output to around ...

China Pressure Hangs Over Indonesia’s U.S. Tariff Deal

Indonesia’s planned tariff deal with the United States risks drawing pressure from China, if Jakarta grants Washington terms not extended elsewhere, an Indonesian economist warned, as the agreement nears signing. “China might use this as a basis to demand the same ...

China Tops Indonesia Trade in 2025, Surplus Extends to 67 Months

China remained the top trading partner behind Indonesia’s widening trade surplus in the first 11 months of 2025, serving as both the country’s largest export destination and its biggest source of non-oil imports, official data showed. Indonesia recorded a ...

Survey: Indonesians See China as an Opportunity, Not an Ally or Threat

Global debates about China’s rise often revolve around military flashpoints or ideological rivalry. Far less attention is paid to how societies in influential middle powers actually perceive Beijing’s growing role. Indonesia—home to more than 270 million people, Southeast Asia’s largest economy, and a country with a long ...

Analysis from Cobus van Staden

2026: Africa-China Relations in a World Shaped by North-South Geopolitics

When talking about Africa–China relations, one is always moving along a sliding scale. There are myriad interactions with Chinese entities that concern only individual African countries, segueing into trends affecting the whole continent and sliding further into global dynamics shaping the developing world, of which Africa is the heart.

The Africa-China relationship is its own thing, but Africa’s fate can’t easily be separated from factors affecting the wider Global South, ...

Dozens of Chinese Nationals Detained After Attack on Indonesian Soldiers in Kalimantan

Dozens of Chinese nationals are being held by Indonesian immigration authorities after an attack on soldiers and a civilian at a gold mine in West Kalimantan, on the Indonesian part of Borneo, officials said. The Indonesian immigration office in Ketapang, ...

Indonesia to Resume U.S. Tariff Talks After Reports Deal at Risk

Indonesia will send a negotiating team to Washington next week to resume tariff talks with the United States. Coordinating Economic Affairs Minister Airlangga Hartarto said Friday The move follows reports that a July trade framework is at risk. Airlangga said ...

A Senior Xi Adviser Visits Indonesia, Bringing Beijing’s Long Game Into Focus

One of China’s highest-ranking political figures, and among President Xi Jinping’s closest ideological advisers, visited Jakarta last week, in a move that underscored Beijing’s deepening interest in its relationship with Indonesia. Wang Huning, one of China’s most influential political ...

China’s $180 Billion Clean Tech Push Reshapes the Global South

Indonesia has become a key test case of China’s clean-energy expansion overseas. A recent report counts about $22.6 billion in Chinese-linked projects have been announced there over the past two years, including EV-parts and solar factories. A flagship ...

BYD Is Third in Indonesia as November Sales Fall

China’s BYD has climbed into Indonesia’s top three car brands by monthly wholesale sales, and top six on yearly sales to date, underscoring how quickly Chinese automakers are gaining ground in a market long led by Japanese rivals. Industry ...

Chinese National Suspect in Indonesia’s Cesium-137 Contamination

Indonesian police have named a Chinese national as a criminal suspect after radioactive material traced to his scrap-metal company contaminated exports and triggered a U.S. import alert on Indonesian shrimp. Police say the man, Lin Jingzhang, runs PT Peter ...

Prabowo Reaffirms One-China Principle in Wang Huning’s Indonesia Visit

China’s top political adviser Wang Huning landed in Jakarta Wednesday to Thursday, aiming to ensure Indonesia remains publicly aligned with Beijing on Taiwan and open to deeper economic cooperation in the years ahead. Two days of meetings delivered pledges and polite applause, but no fresh deals.
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