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Can PGII Tell a Compelling Story?

By Hugo Jones and Lukas Fiala At this year’s G7 summit, a new acronym joined the ranks of competing development finance initiatives. Forget the B3W – the Partnership for Global Infrastructure and Investment (PGII) is the G7’s latest “joint offer to narrow ...

Analysis from Cobus van Staden

Great Changes Unseen in a Century (and Frequently Ignored Now)

Big things are happening in the world, but don’t expect me to tell you what they are. 

Like many South Africans, I’ve been a little distracted these days. The country’s notorious electricity situation has worsened to blackouts three times a day. People like me, whose work depends on internet access, migrate across the city every few hours to cafes and other workplaces that still have power. All the time, Johannesburg ...

China’s Overseas Fishing Fleet and the Global South

by Chris Alden and Sérgio Chichava While much of the Western attention is focused on the grey zone activities pursued by Chinese fishing fleets and their purported role in the strategic expansion of China’s interests in the South China Sea, less ...

China’s Uphill Battle Fostering Stability in the Horn of Africa

By Lukas Fiala On Monday and Tuesday this week, Ethiopia hosted a China-sponsored Horn of Africa Peace Governance and Development conference – the first of its kind. Taking place at the China-financed African Union headquarters in Addis Ababa, the event signalled ...

Will China Bring Stability to the Horn of Africa?

Lukas Fiala Early next week, Ethiopia will host a China-sponsored Horn of Africa peace conference – the first of its kind. Taking place at the China-financed African Union headquarters in Addis Ababa, the event will be a key opportunity for Beijing ...

China and Forced Displacement in an Age of Crises

By Hugo Jones The UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) has estimated that the number of forcibly displaced people across the globe now surpasses 100 million. Weak economic growth, compounded by an emerging food crisis, is likely to inflate this ...

China’s Emerging Global Security Agenda Extends From Djibouti to the Solomon Islands

By Lukas Fiala In April, China confirmed the signing of a bilateral security agreement with the Solomon Islands, a supposed draft of which had been leaked a few weeks earlier. Last week, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi embarked on an ...

The End of Strategic Ambiguity on Taiwan: A Reset or Repeat for U.S.-Global South Relations?

By Mariah Thornton “Yes, that's the commitment we made.” These words from President Biden during an official visit to Japan marked the end of U.S. strategic ambiguity on the Taiwan question. That question is: would the U.S. defend Taiwan if China ...

What Do We Mean by ‘Global South’?

By Lukas Fiala and Hugo Jones This week, the China-Africa project formally rebranded to become the Global South Project. As authors of this similarly titled newsletter, we at China Foresight see this as an opportunity to critically reflect upon how we ...

Does the Shanghai Outbreak Change China’s Image as a Global Public Health Leader?

By Hugo Jones and Lukas Fiala For nearly two years, China’s COVID strategy has been at the center of Beijing’s public health diplomacy, being regarded as uniquely successful at keeping case numbers close to zero. However, over the past few months, ...

Ukraine, Afghanistan, and China’s ‘Inadvertent Empire’

By Hugo Jones and Lukas Fiala As Russia’s invasion of Ukraine enters a new phase and more evidence of war crimes surfaces, it is hard to overstate the significance these events will have for Europe’s security architecture, the West’s relationship with ...

The ‘Anti-Dollar Axis’: An Unlikely Alliance

By Saniya Kulkarni Although the UN General Assembly resolution condemning Russia’s aggression in Ukraine was passed with 141 votes in favor, the 35 abstentions, primarily from states in the Global South, but especially those by powers like China, India, and South Africa, ...
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