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China’s Overseas Fishing Fleet and the Global South

by Chris Alden and Sérgio Chichava While much of the Western attention is focused on the grey zone activities pursued by Chinese fishing fleets and their purported role in the strategic expansion of China’s interests in the South China Sea, less ...

Analysis from Cobus van Staden

The G7’s New Infrastructure Initiative Could Strengthen China’s Global South Game: Experts

The G7’s new Partnership for Global Infrastructure Investment (PGII), a $600 billion plan to build infrastructure across the Global South and counter China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), could have the effect of improving how Chinese companies do business and could end up improving the BRI itself, according to development experts. 

Some acknowledged that the BRI has been controversial for its environmental and debt impacts. But they also pointed out ...

China’s Uphill Battle Fostering Stability in the Horn of Africa

By Lukas Fiala On Monday and Tuesday this week, Ethiopia hosted a China-sponsored Horn of Africa Peace Governance and Development conference – the first of its kind. Taking place at the China-financed African Union headquarters in Addis Ababa, the event signalled ...

Will China Bring Stability to the Horn of Africa?

Lukas Fiala Early next week, Ethiopia will host a China-sponsored Horn of Africa peace conference – the first of its kind. Taking place at the China-financed African Union headquarters in Addis Ababa, the event will be a key opportunity for Beijing ...

China and Forced Displacement in an Age of Crises

By Hugo Jones The UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) has estimated that the number of forcibly displaced people across the globe now surpasses 100 million. Weak economic growth, compounded by an emerging food crisis, is likely to inflate this ...

China’s Emerging Global Security Agenda Extends From Djibouti to the Solomon Islands

By Lukas Fiala In April, China confirmed the signing of a bilateral security agreement with the Solomon Islands, a supposed draft of which had been leaked a few weeks earlier. Last week, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi embarked on an ...

The End of Strategic Ambiguity on Taiwan: A Reset or Repeat for U.S.-Global South Relations?

By Mariah Thornton “Yes, that's the commitment we made.” These words from President Biden during an official visit to Japan marked the end of U.S. strategic ambiguity on the Taiwan question. That question is: would the U.S. defend Taiwan if China ...

What Do We Mean by ‘Global South’?

By Lukas Fiala and Hugo Jones This week, the China-Africa project formally rebranded to become the Global South Project. As authors of this similarly titled newsletter, we at China Foresight see this as an opportunity to critically reflect upon how we ...

Does the Shanghai Outbreak Change China’s Image as a Global Public Health Leader?

By Hugo Jones and Lukas Fiala For nearly two years, China’s COVID strategy has been at the center of Beijing’s public health diplomacy, being regarded as uniquely successful at keeping case numbers close to zero. However, over the past few months, ...

Ukraine, Afghanistan, and China’s ‘Inadvertent Empire’

By Hugo Jones and Lukas Fiala As Russia’s invasion of Ukraine enters a new phase and more evidence of war crimes surfaces, it is hard to overstate the significance these events will have for Europe’s security architecture, the West’s relationship with ...

The ‘Anti-Dollar Axis’: An Unlikely Alliance

By Saniya Kulkarni Although the UN General Assembly resolution condemning Russia’s aggression in Ukraine was passed with 141 votes in favor, the 35 abstentions, primarily from states in the Global South, but especially those by powers like China, India, and South Africa, ...

Ukraine Shows That China is Not Yet Ready to Head an Alternative World Order

By Lukas Fiala, Hugo Jones, and Chris Alden Russia’s steadily escalating war in Ukraine has shocked Europe’s post-Cold War security order to its core.  Over the past week, we saw China’s party-state kicking into gear as ambassadors and spokespersons increasingly
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