analysis

China, Russia, and the New Era of “Systemic Competition”

By Lukas Fiala Earlier this week we had the opportunity to host the German Marshall Fund’s Andrew Small for a discussion about his latest book The Rupture: China and the Global Race for the Future. As the title suggests, Andrew ...

What’s the Strategy Behind South Africa’s Joint Naval Exercises With China and Russia?

South Africa’s joint naval exercises with China and Russia are drawing sharp criticism domestically and from Western allies. Beyond questions about the symbolism of its timing - overlapping with the one-year anniversary of the Ukraine invasion - many are baffled as to why SA is participating ...

And…That’s How It’s Done in the Congo: Chinese Mining Venture Settles $17 billion Claim With a $500 Million Check

Negotiators for the state-owned China Railway Engineering Corporation (CREC) finalized a deal with the Congolese government to pay for $500 million of new infrastructure this year. While that may sound like a lot of money, it's a lot less than ...

China Unphased by Report IMF May Circumvent Beijing on Sri Lanka Debt Relief

Sri Lankan debt restructuring seems to be hitting a stalemate, judging by Monday’s Foreign Ministry press briefing. Asked about a recent Bloomberg report that the IMF is considering circumventing Chinese approval in providing a relief deal to the bankrupt country, spokesperson Wang Wenbing basically restated China’s current position.

Another $4 Billion on the Table? The Role of China’s Sinosure in Africa’s Debt Negotiations

By Oyintarelado Moses On February 17, 2023, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) convened a roundtable discussion on sovereign debt restructuring, bringing together creditor and debtor stakeholders involved with ongoing and upcoming debt restructurings. Leading ...

Chinese Embassy in DR Congo Dismisses State Auditor Report That Demands $17 Billion in Additional Infrastructure

The Chinese embassy in the Democratic Republic of the Congo blasted a report published late last week by the state auditor in Kinshasa that called for an additional $17 billion of infrastructure as part of a 2008 infrastructure-for-minerals deal. In its report, the General ...

China’s Debt Fight Has High Stakes

We’ve covered Chinese lending to the Global South through the boom days of the BRI and the current debt busts cratering Zambia, Sri Lanka and other economies. One of the things we’ve learned is that China plays a weird dual role in the global development finance landscape. ...

India Thinks It Can Persuade China to Take Big Losses on Its Loans to Poor Countries

The Indian government, in its role as rotating head of the Group of 20, is drafting what will no doubt be a controversial proposal that calls on all major international creditors, namely China, to take large losses on its loans to poor countries.

Xi Reassures Raisi Everything is OK Between China and Iran

Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi is undoubtedly relieved that his meeting on Tuesday with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping went smoothly and (at least on the surface) Tehran's ties with Beijing seem back on track. Over the past year, there's been mounting concern in ...

Iranian President Embarks on Critical Visit to China

Iran’s President Ebrahim Raisi is visiting China for his first state visit and the first by an Iranian president in two decades. Raisi is traveling with a large entourage, including Iran’s central bank chief and its top nuclear negotiator.

IMF Tells Sri Lanka to Gets Its Creditors in Line, Prompting Showdown With China

The Sri Lankan government suffered another setback in its ongoing effort to secure a $2.9 billion emergency financing package from the International Monetary Fund after the lender informed Colombo it would have to secure more assurances from its creditors, namely China, to provide debt relief. ...

Is Turkey Serious About Its Recent Criticism of China?

By Buğra Süsler Last December Turkish Minister of Foreign Affairs Mevlüt Çavuşoğlu held an end-of-year press conference to review the year’s foreign policy developments and Turkey’s relations with the world. A highlight of this conference was his exceptionally open criticism ...
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