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China and Forced Displacement in an Age of Crises

By Hugo Jones The UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) has estimated that the number of forcibly displaced people across the globe now surpasses 100 million. Weak economic growth, compounded by an emerging food crisis, is likely to inflate this ...

China’s Emerging Global Security Agenda Extends From Djibouti to the Solomon Islands

By Lukas Fiala In April, China confirmed the signing of a bilateral security agreement with the Solomon Islands, a supposed draft of which had been leaked a few weeks earlier. Last week, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi embarked on an ...

The End of Strategic Ambiguity on Taiwan: A Reset or Repeat for U.S.-Global South Relations?

By Mariah Thornton “Yes, that's the commitment we made.” These words from President Biden during an official visit to Japan marked the end of U.S. strategic ambiguity on the Taiwan question. That question is: would the U.S. defend Taiwan if China ...

What Do We Mean by ‘Global South’?

By Lukas Fiala and Hugo Jones This week, the China-Africa project formally rebranded to become the Global South Project. As authors of this similarly titled newsletter, we at China Foresight see this as an opportunity to critically reflect upon how we ...

Does the Shanghai Outbreak Change China’s Image as a Global Public Health Leader?

By Hugo Jones and Lukas Fiala For nearly two years, China’s COVID strategy has been at the center of Beijing’s public health diplomacy, being regarded as uniquely successful at keeping case numbers close to zero. However, over the past few months, ...

Ukraine, Afghanistan, and China’s ‘Inadvertent Empire’

By Hugo Jones and Lukas Fiala As Russia’s invasion of Ukraine enters a new phase and more evidence of war crimes surfaces, it is hard to overstate the significance these events will have for Europe’s security architecture, the West’s relationship with ...

The ‘Anti-Dollar Axis’: An Unlikely Alliance

By Saniya Kulkarni Although the UN General Assembly resolution condemning Russia’s aggression in Ukraine was passed with 141 votes in favor, the 35 abstentions, primarily from states in the Global South, but especially those by powers like China, India, and South Africa, ...

Ukraine Shows That China is Not Yet Ready to Head an Alternative World Order

By Lukas Fiala, Hugo Jones, and Chris Alden Russia’s steadily escalating war in Ukraine has shocked Europe’s post-Cold War security order to its core.  Over the past week, we saw China’s party-state kicking into gear as ambassadors and spokespersons increasingly

Can Beijing Get Away With Hedging in Ukraine?

By Lukas Fiala Horrific images and stories of violence and destruction have reached us from Ukraine this week as Russia’s invasion is rapidly turning into a massive humanitarian crisis. While all eyes are rightfully on Ukrainians’ brave resistance, the human suffering ...

Beyond the “New Cold War”: Russia, China, Ukraine, the Global South

By Lukas Fiala and Hugo Jones The world watches as a large-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine unfolds, after a prolonged period of guesswork around Putin’s strategic intentions. Millions of Ukrainians fear for their lives and seek shelter from Russian airstrikes and artillery. ...

How ‘Small State Opportunism’ Shapes China’s Pursuit of Overseas Military Bases

By Chris Alden and Lukas Fiala, China Foresight, LSE IDEAS When Djiboutian President Ismail Omar Guelleh publicly confirmed China’s intentions of building a military base near the Doraleh port in 2015, Beijing’s move was met with deep suspicion across ...

Seeking ‘Olympic Spirit’ in the Global South

By Lukas Fiala and Hugo Jones, China Foresight LSE IDEAS Over the past month, political leaders and Olympic committee officials from a dozen African countries have publicly expressed their support for China’s hosting of the Winter Olympics this February. On Tuesday, Nigeria’s ...
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