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A Bumpy Year Ahead? Three Things To Watch in 2025

By Lukas Fiala A little over a month ago, we argued the upcoming Trump presidency may well present an opportunity for Beijing to push ahead with its quest to transform global order to benefit Chinese interests. With Trump 2.0 fast approaching ...

Locating Türkiye in Global Critical Minerals Competition Between East and West

By Buğra Süsler Critical minerals are becoming increasingly important due to their use in various strategic sectors, such as renewable energy, aerospace, and defense, with a growing global demand accelerated by the decarbonization of economies. China’s dominance in the production and ...

“Self-Othering” and “Neighboring”: Understanding China’s Global South Strategy

By Giulia Sciorati The Third Belt and Road Forum, held in Beijing on October 18th, marked a significant moment to evaluate China’s strategies for engaging the Global South. While public discourse has focused on financial commitments and infrastructure projects, the narratives ...

Is this China’s Great Power Opportunity to Change Global Order?

By Chris Alden & Lukas Fiala Reading through the headlines surrounding the recent G20 summit in Brazil last week, it was hard to overlook reports of outgoing US President Biden seemingly sidelined at the photo-op. While it’s important not to overinterpret the ...

From Lemonade to Stealth Fighters: Zhuhai Airshow and China’s Future as an Arms Exporter

By Lukas Fiala While perhaps not on the radar of some China watchers, this week’s China International Aviation & Aerospace Exhibition – or Zhuhai Airshow for short – marks an important inflection point in China’s rise as a great power. Taking ...

Trump 2.0 and U.S.-China Competition Across the Global South

By Chris Alden, Felix Brender, and Lukas Fiala While U.S. elections have commonly captured the world’s attention, it is safe to say this week’s result has perhaps been one of the most anxiously anticipated outcomes both within the U.S. and in ...

A Sweet Surprise? The Reasons Behind China & India’s Thawing Relationship

By Saniya Kulkarni One of the more prominent stories coming out of the BRICS summit last week is the formal bilateral meeting between Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping, the first one of its kind since 2019. ...

The BRICS in Kazan: A Testing Ground for Chinese Multipolarism?

By Giulia Sciorati This week’s BRICS summit in Kazan has represented a key opportunity for Beijing to strengthen its leadership within the group and solidify its status as both a regional and global power. For China, BRICS serves primarily as a ...

Back to the Future: Milei’s U-turn on China

By Bruno Binetti Argentine President Javier Milei has had a change of heart regarding China. Although he was highly critical of Beijing during the electoral campaign — famously declaring he would refuse all ties with "Communists" and backing out of joining ...

With Global Attention Elsewhere, Asia-Pacific Remains a Theater for China-India Rivalry

By Saniya Kulkarni In what has turned out to be the closest election in the history of Sri Lankan politics, left-leaning Anura Kumara Dissanayake has unseated Ranil Wickremesinghe to become the island country’s eighth president, also 

Are China’s Diplomatic Partnerships Entering a New Era?

By Lukas Fiala Studying Chinese foreign policy means grappling with China’s sometimes ambiguous but nevertheless intriguing foreign policy rhetoric. China’s multi-tiered partnership framework is a case in point. Last year, I wrote about this very subject, arguing that China’s ...

How the BRI Undermined Beijing’s Bid to Revive Globalization

By Lukas Fiala Last week’s Belt and Road Summit in Hong Kong served as a reminder of the conflicted ongoing legacy of the BRI over a decade after its initiation. When first articulated as a strategic vision to connect China with ...
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