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Mexico Could Be Ground Zero for U.S.-China Tariff Fights

Mexico is reportedly considering imposing retaliatory tariffs against the United States, if the incoming Trump administration follows through on his threat of 25% levies on Mexican imports. Mexico surpassed China as the biggest source of U.S. imports in 2023, partly due to rapid offshoring by Chinese companies.

North-South Trade Tensions Mark the Opening of a Gloomy COP29

The UN’s COP29 climate summit opened in Baku, Azerbaijan, on Monday. The first day was derailed by agenda negotiations following a request by China and the rest of the BASIC negotiating group (Brazil, South Africa, and India) for talks on carbon border taxes and other environmentally-minded trade restrictions. ...

Gauging the Impact of a Second Trump Presidency on U.S.-China Relations in the Middle East

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has already indicated that the Middle East is going to be a central focus of his second term's foreign policy. He's already named Elise Stefanik, a fiercely pro-Israel lawmaker, to be his ambassador at the United Nations ...

Angola’s Big Bet on Biden Now Risks Backfiring

Pity poor Angola. President João Lourenço placed a multimillion-dollar bet on hiring expensive Washington, D.C. lobbying firms to put his southern African country on the U.S. agenda. Whatever they did worked because, over the past several years, Angola seemingly became the ...

Indonesia’s Prabowo Leans Into Closer Economic Ties With China Amid Heightened Geopolitical Tensions

In a region shaped by shifting superpower influence, Indonesia’s recent $10 billion in agreements with China underscores a deliberate pivot toward Beijing for economic growth while testing the limits of regional diplomatic flexibility and neutrality. The deals, which Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto announced at the Indonesia-China Business ...

Africa Has Other Friends if Trump Won’t Work With It: Kenya’s AU Candidate

By Dylan Gamba Kenya's candidate for the top job at the African Union said Saturday that if U.S. President-elect Donald Trump does not want to work with Africa, the continent has "other friends." Raila Odinga, ...

WEEK in REVIEW: Philippines Begins Combat Drills Amid South China Sea Tensions

Nigerian special police forces arrested 113 suspected cyber criminals, mostly from China and Malaysia, following a massive raid on Saturday at a building in the capital Abuja. The suspects are believed to be involved in large-scale hacking and other criminal activities. The Chinese embassy in Nigeria has not ...

Indonesia’s New Leader Heads to China as Five-Nation Tour Begins

Indonesia's new president headed to China for a state visit on Friday, starting a five-nation tour that could include a meeting with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump as he seeks to balance relations with major powers on his first foreign trip. Prabowo ...

How Will Trump’s Return to Power Impact China-Africa Ties?

The re-election of former U.S. President Donald Trump is expected to significantly alter U.S. foreign policy, including its approach to Africa. As seen during Trump’s first term, U.S. engagement with the continent is likely to decrease, with a stronger emphasis on ...

Trump 2.0 and U.S.-China Competition Across the Global South

By Chris Alden, Felix Brender, and Lukas Fiala While U.S. elections have commonly captured the world’s attention, it is safe to say this week’s result has perhaps been one of the most anxiously anticipated outcomes both within the U.S. and in ...

HOT TAKES: Early Predictions of How Trump’s Win Could Affect Key China-Global South Issues

AFRICA: The outcome of the U.S. election for Africa will likely be mixed. South Africa will likely face increased pressure from U.S. policymakers around its opposition to Israeli actions in Gaza, and perceptions of its closeness to Russia and China. Such pressure will likely push it ...

Trump, China, and the Rest of Us

As we absorbed the news of another Trump term, my immediate conversations with friends split into two categories. With American and U.S.-adjacent friends, the conversation defaulted to (mostly despairing) unpackings of what happened. But the ...
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