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Is Europe Facing a “Lost Decade” Across the Global South?

By Lukas Fiala With Europe scrambling to adjust to a world in rapid transition, two key events will shape the continent’s ability to sustain competition with China across the Global South. The first was exemplified by Germany’s election last Sunday, which ...

Beware False Idols: The Pitfalls of Copy-Paste Development Models

By Felix Brender 王哲謙 At this year’s Munich Security Conference, the U.S. put on such an antagonistic performance that China barely had to lift a finger to win brownie points. All Beijing had to do was sit back, radiate calm, and ...

Can Washington Really Force Countries to Choose Sides?

By Lukas Fiala With Panama’s proclaimed exit from the BRI and the likelihood of hardline ambassadorial appointments to BRICS countries such as South Africa, we’ve been thinking about Washington’s ability to make countries choose sides between China and the U.S..

Great Power Politics in Trump 2.0: Shifts in the U.S.-India-China Relationships

By Saniya Kulkarni In Trump’s first week as President of the U.S., his administration has already moved ahead on key campaign talking points, including an escalated crackdown on illegal immigration, threats of tariff imposition on allies, and the ...

China’s Exports Boom Goes Well Beyond Electric Vehicles

By Lukas Fiala With most of my attention span occupied by events in the U.S. this week, I sought a brief refuge from Beltway politics by turning to one of the subjects I promised to keep an eye on this year: ...

A Bumpy Year Ahead? Three Things To Watch in 2025

By Lukas Fiala A little over a month ago, we argued the upcoming Trump presidency may well present an opportunity for Beijing to push ahead with its quest to transform global order to benefit Chinese interests. With Trump 2.0 fast approaching ...

Locating Türkiye in Global Critical Minerals Competition Between East and West

By Buğra Süsler Critical minerals are becoming increasingly important due to their use in various strategic sectors, such as renewable energy, aerospace, and defense, with a growing global demand accelerated by the decarbonization of economies. China’s dominance in the production and ...

“Self-Othering” and “Neighboring”: Understanding China’s Global South Strategy

By Giulia Sciorati The Third Belt and Road Forum, held in Beijing on October 18th, marked a significant moment to evaluate China’s strategies for engaging the Global South. While public discourse has focused on financial commitments and infrastructure projects, the narratives ...

Is this China’s Great Power Opportunity to Change Global Order?

By Chris Alden & Lukas Fiala Reading through the headlines surrounding the recent G20 summit in Brazil last week, it was hard to overlook reports of outgoing US President Biden seemingly sidelined at the photo-op. While it’s important not to overinterpret the ...

From Lemonade to Stealth Fighters: Zhuhai Airshow and China’s Future as an Arms Exporter

By Lukas Fiala While perhaps not on the radar of some China watchers, this week’s China International Aviation & Aerospace Exhibition – or Zhuhai Airshow for short – marks an important inflection point in China’s rise as a great power. Taking ...

Trump 2.0 and U.S.-China Competition Across the Global South

By Chris Alden, Felix Brender, and Lukas Fiala While U.S. elections have commonly captured the world’s attention, it is safe to say this week’s result has perhaps been one of the most anxiously anticipated outcomes both within the U.S. and in ...

A Sweet Surprise? The Reasons Behind China & India’s Thawing Relationship

By Saniya Kulkarni One of the more prominent stories coming out of the BRICS summit last week is the formal bilateral meeting between Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chinese President Xi Jinping, the first one of its kind since 2019. ...
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