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The Plunge in Chinese Overseas Lending is a Big Deal. It’s a REALLY Big Deal.

Recent findings by Boston University's Global Development Policy Center that China's two largest policy banks, China Exim Bank and the China Development Bank, sharply curtailed their lending from $75 billion in 2016 to just $4 billion, was a stunning surprise. Long ...
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New Database Provides Fresh Insights Into Chinese Lending Practices Around the World

Yesterday's Financial Times headline that "China's overseas lending collapses" dominated the news about Boston University's pioneering new database that tracks lending by two of China's largest policy banks, China Exim Bank and the China Development Bank.

Reaction to New Data That Reveals “Chinese Overseas Lending Collapse”

Findings from Boston University's new database on Chinese development finance patterns that revealed a "collapse" of overseas lending sparked a lot of conversation online yesterday from leading development economists in the U.S. and Europe. The general consensus among the experts was ...

Peking University Professor: Chinese Loan Losses in Asia and Africa Reinforce Painful Lessons Learned in Venezuela

The following is a transcript of a nine-part Twitter thread posted by the prominent China economist Michael Pettis, a professor at Peking University. As I have been writing since 2011, China’s development lending was always likely to follow the ...

China Strikes Financing Deal With Iraq, Providing New Clue to How Beijing Deals With Major Oil Supplying Countries

The Chinese government is reportedly coming to the rescue of the financially stressed Iraqi government with a $2 billion cash payment for a year's worth of oil at current market prices. The five-year agreement, as reported by Bloomberg, provides fresh insights into how China ...
How the Strait of Hormuz Disruption Exposed Southeast Asia’s Fragile LNG Strategy
An LPG gas tanker at anchor as traffic is down in the Strait of Hormuz, amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Shinas, Oman, March 11, 2026. REUTERS/Benoit Tessie
Conflict in the Middle East has only intensified over the past two years. The recent disruption of the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most critical energy chokepoint, has sent shockwaves across Southeast Asia, a region heavily dependent on fossil fuel imports.  Around one-fifth of global ...

U.S. Election: Africans Hope Biden Will Warm Up Relations with Continent

Re-balancing ties between the United States and China emerged as one of the key themes in the stream of analysis that flowed all weekend from African journalists and analysts after Joe Biden formally won the U.S. presidential election. Many commentators from ...

Kenya’s Spiraling Debt Crisis Worsens as the Cost of Chinese Loans Mount, Currency Weakens and Exports Soften

Kenya is rapidly becoming the next flashpoint in the Africa debt crisis amid a dramatic increase in borrowing that threatens to submerge the economy. The Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) warned on Friday that the country's ballooning debt is ...

What’s Next For Jack Ma’s Philanthropy in Africa Now That He’s in Real Trouble Back Home?

Jack Ma, the founder and former CEO of Alibaba, is in trouble with the government at home. Big trouble. Last week, Chinese regulators pulled the plug at the very last minute on Alibaba's blockbuster $34 billion IPO of its financial unit Ant Group after Ma ...

China, Africa and the New Biden Administration

There's palpable excitement in dozens of capitals around the world about the prospects of a new government in Washington, D.C. This is especially true in Africa, where U.S. relations with a number of countries on the continent felt like they were rapidly deteriorating and on their way ...
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