After Gulf Conflict, China Is Likely to Deepen Its Regional Engagement

A damaged building in the vicinity of Dubai Creek Harbour after a drone fell on it, amid the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, March 12, 2026. Picture taken with a mobile phone. REUTERS/Stringer/File Photo

A reporter asked me today to look beyond the current turmoil in the Persian Gulf to forecast how China might respond when the fighting eventually stops. The crux of his question is whether Beijing will remain as engaged in the Persian Gulf as it has been for the past decade.

The short answer to that is a definitive YES. 

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