More Analysts Predict China Will Emerge a Winner From the Mideast War

A man drives a motorcycle past the rubble of a site damaged in an Israeli strike, amid escalating hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah, as the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran continues, in Nabatieh, Lebanon, March 25, 2026. REUTERS/Yara Nardi

With the exception of a few MAGA-aligned think tanks in Washington, there’s an emerging consensus among foreign policy analysts and newspaper editorial writers in the U.S., Europe, and Asia that China is going to emerge as a clear winner from the expanding war in the Middle East:

  • CHINA WELL POSITIONED:  “Those expecting the war to undermine China’s superpower status — a view common among MAGA types — are badly mistaken. Beijing’s long-termism, diversification, and nimbleness make the country uniquely resilient, and well positioned to exploit new openings” — Tej Parikh, Economics Leader Writer at the Financial Times (FINANCIAL TIMES)
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by Eric Olander

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