China Demand Slowdown Clouds Thailand’s 2026 Export Outlook

Thailand’s 2026 export outlook is weakening as China demand slows and U.S. trade pressure rises, according to government forecasts.
Containers for export at the Laem Chabang deep-sea port in Chon Buri province, Thailand, on June 25, 2024. Thailand’s 2026 export outlook is weakening as China demand slows and U.S. trade pressure rises, according to government forecasts. (Photo by Nutthawat Wichieanbut / Bangkok Post / Bangkok Post via AFP)

Thailand’s export outlook for 2026 is deteriorating as weaker demand from China collides with tighter U.S. trade conditions, raising the risk of stagnation or outright contraction, government forecasts show.

Thailand’s Trade Policy and Strategy Office (TPSO) projects exports next year in a range from a 3.1% decline to growth of 1.1%, reflecting slowing momentum in Thailand’s two largest external markets.

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by Edwin Shri Bimo

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