“Iran faces grave dangers and must take three critical steps, or the nation’s collapse is near,” warns an influential commentator Zhan Hao on WeChat.
According to the author, Iran’s years of insufficient war preparedness have left it deeply vulnerable, and its reliance on Russian and domestically made air defense systems has proven ineffective. Worse yet, the U.S. is reportedly on standby, ready to join the offensive should Iran show any sign of weakness.
The article claims Iran must:
Recognize the Existential Intent of Its Enemies
The article argues that Tehran has fundamentally misjudged the intentions of its adversaries. The United States and Israel, it claims, are not seeking mere deterrence or negotiation leverage—they are aiming for regime change and national fragmentation. The death of former Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi in what the author suspects was an assassination masked as an air crash is cited as a turning point.
The swift installation of a more moderate, reportedly pro-Western leader is seen as evidence that Iran’s political leadership may be attempting to appease the West instead of preparing for confrontation. The article criticizes such a stance as dangerously naïve and urges Iran’s leaders to abandon illusions of diplomacy. Instead, they must unify the country around the understanding that this is a battle for national survival.
Purge Internal Spies and Transition to Secure Chinese-Made Communications Technology
A second pillar of the article’s warning centers on internal vulnerability. Over the past year, the assassinations of senior leaders within Iran, Hamas, and Hezbollah—some during sensitive meetings or video conferences—are presented as signs of deep intelligence penetration by Israel and the U.S. The commentary suggests that Iran’s reliance on Western consumer electronics, particularly Apple devices, has created massive security risks.
It advocates for a sweeping purge of suspected internal traitors and the replacement of all digital infrastructure with Chinese-made hardware, especially Huawei smartphones and networking equipment. This, the article claims, is necessary to reestablish operational security and prevent further high-level leaks and targeted killings.
Prepare for a Protracted, Large-Scale Ground War That Outlasts Western Endurance
The third and most ambitious recommendation is for Iran to abandon any defensive posture and prepare for a long-term, high-intensity military confrontation with Israel and potentially the U.S. The article draws on the Russia–Ukraine war as a strategic precedent, arguing that Iran, like Russia, can win a war of attrition. It highlights Iran’s larger population (80+ million vs. Israel’s 9 million), deeper strategic depth, and more robust domestic industrial capacity as key advantages.
The author calls on Iran to expand its military from 600,000 to 1 million troops and to project forces into neighboring states like Syria and Lebanon to directly pressure Israel. This shift would reframe the war not as a defensive reaction, but as an active, extended campaign that could sap Israeli and American resources over time—eventually exhausting Western political will to continue.
