It’s been 29 days since anyone saw Chinese Foreign Minister Qin Gang in public. Why he’s gone missing is anyone’s guess. No one outside of a small number of elite Chinese leaders really knows what’s going on, so beware of any speculation you read on Twitter or in the press.
Nonetheless, his absence, largely unprecedented in the modern era for a foreign minister of a major power, is having a noticeable impact on Chinese foreign policy. Most acutely, UK Foreign Secretary James Cleverly’s decision this weekend to postpone his upcoming visit to Beijing was attributed to Qin’s disappearance.