In a region shaped by shifting superpower influence, Indonesia’s recent $10 billion in agreements with China underscores a deliberate pivot toward Beijing for economic growth while testing the limits of regional diplomatic flexibility and neutrality. The deals, which Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto announced at the Indonesia-China Business Forum, include major projects in green minerals, the blue economy, and joint development in disputed territories—an aspect with possible repercussions for both ASEAN relations and Indonesian sovereignty.

As Washington cautiously eyes the growing Southeast Asia-China ties, Indonesia’s move raises questions about the costs and benefits of its deepening relationship with Beijing.