Marcos Coalition Weakens in Philippine Midterm Election as China Policy Divides Campaign

The Philippines’ 2025 midterm elections have reshaped the Senate balance and likely deepened the country’s political divisions, particularly over foreign policy direction amid rising tensions in the South China Sea.
Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte in Manila on May 9, 2025. Duterte's alliance wins at least 5 seats in mid-term election.

The Philippines’ 2025 midterm elections are reshaping the Senate balance and will likely deepen the country’s political divisions, including over foreign policy, amid rising tensions in the South China Sea.

President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.’s ruling coalition secured just six of 12 contested Senate seats, down from initial projections of nine, losing momentum to Vice President Sara Duterte’s allies and opposition figures. 

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