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China’s Exports Boom Goes Well Beyond Electric Vehicles

By Lukas Fiala With most of my attention span occupied by events in the U.S. this week, I sought a brief refuge from Beltway politics by turning to one of the subjects I promised to keep an eye on this year: ...

Are China’s Diplomatic Partnerships Entering a New Era?

By Lukas Fiala Studying Chinese foreign policy means grappling with China’s sometimes ambiguous but nevertheless intriguing foreign policy rhetoric. China’s multi-tiered partnership framework is a case in point. Last year, I wrote about this very subject, arguing that China’s ...

How the BRI Undermined Beijing’s Bid to Revive Globalization

By Lukas Fiala Last week’s Belt and Road Summit in Hong Kong served as a reminder of the conflicted ongoing legacy of the BRI over a decade after its initiation. When first articulated as a strategic vision to connect China with ...

How Would a Trump Presidency Compete with China in the Global South?

By Lukas Fiala With Kamala Harris’ campaign gathering pace over the past week, the race for the U.S. presidency is now more open than just a couple of weeks ago. And yet, with the specter of Trump 2.0 looming over policy ...

Who Will Succeed Amidst Global Economic Fragmentation?

By Lukas Fiala It’s hard to go a day without reading about new economic security measures on either side of the Atlantic. From EU tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles to the U.S. Treasury’s sanctions on China’s dual-use trade with Russia, the ...

Analysis from Cobus van Staden

BRICS Announces Numerous New Initiatives

The BRICS group wrapped up its two-day leaders’ summit in Rio de Janeiro on Monday. The summit’s final communique is a 16,000-word doorstop that covers numerous issues from economics to education.
The communique avoids any direct mention of the United States, and references to “unilateralism” and other coded criticism are also relatively scarce. Rather, the communique keeps the focus on the BRICS’ vision of the strengthening and reform of the global multilateral system ...

Europe Needs a Reality Check to Remain Relevant in a Multipolar World

By Lukas Fiala The recent military coup in Niger was widely interpreted as the latest blow in a series of setbacks for Europe in Africa. After French disengagement yielded space to Russian mercenaries across the Sahel, it’s hard not to see the ...

How China Is Moving up the Ranks in the Global Arms Market

By Lukas Fiala The label ‘Made in China’ has long epitomized China’s prominence in global manufacturing. From primary materials to advanced consumer goods, China’s rapid economic rise has been undergirded by the country’s insertion into global value chains since the 1980s ...

How Are We to Understand China’s International Partnerships?

By Lukas Fiala The visit of China’s newly minted defense minister, Li Shangfu, to Russia over the past week resulted in the usual diplomatic overtures. As Li reportedly put it: ‘We have very strong ties. They surpass the military-political alliances of ...

Does China Sit Atop the Drone Throne?

By Lukas Fiala On Wednesday, it was reported that China donated four Type PMR-50 UAVs to Benin. Produced by China’s state-owned defense major NORINCO, the PMR-50 is a small, close-range drone and will reportedly support Benin’s counterterrorism efforts, likely by enhancing ...

Has France Just Taken a Page out of China’s Playbook?

By Lukas Fiala With great powers bickering over an impasse in the debt negotiations while reheating the ‘lab leak theory’ in the debate on the origins of COVID-19, it seems we’re once again far away from a constructive solution to some ...

Xi, Putin and Modi in Central Asia

By Lukas Fiala With all eyes on Xi Jinping’s first foreign trip since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, a flurry of commentators have been dissecting the significance of Xi’s meeting with Vladimir Putin on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation ...