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Category: Analysis

Smaller and Greener? New Data Reveals a Shift in Chinese Loans to Africa

By Victoria Yvonne Bien-Aimé, Lucas Engel and Oyintarelado Moses A combination of economic shocks from the COVID-19 pandemic and the policy shift to a greener high-quality Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) has translated into a substantial decline in large-scale Chinese loan ...

U.S.-Based Analysts Reflect on This Week’s BRICS Summit and What It Says About the Current State of International Relations

As the BRICS summit draws to a close in Johannesburg, international affairs analysts at prominent U.S.-based think tanks and universities are reflecting on many of the key takeaways from the three-day event: WEST'S FAILURE: "The enthusiasm of many developing ...

DC’s Think Tanks Mobilize for Rapid Response to the China- Brokered Iran-Saudi Arabia Pact

Given that China and the Mideast are two of the three primary obsessions among U.S.-based national security think tanks (Russia being the third, of course), it shouldn't be a huge surprise that analysts reacted very fast with their assessment of Friday's rapprochement between Iran and Saudi Arabia. ...

Toxic Politics to Blame if G20’s Debt Relief Efforts Fail, Says Deborah Brautigam

Vulnerable societies like Zambia could be crushed if geopolitics are allowed to hijack debt renegotiation processes. So warns the Africa-China and debt expert Deborah Brautigam in a recent article in Foreign Affairs. The article is very useful for those following the ...

Background: Why China-Iran Relations Are a Lot More Complicated Than They Appear

Bill Figueroa is a research associate at the University of Cambridge Centre for Geopolitics and is widely regarded as one of the world's foremost experts on China-Iran relations. The analysis below is copied from a 12-part thread that he published on Twitter and has been ...

Analysis from Cobus van Staden

Chinese Foreign Minister to Lead UN Security Council Meeting on Gaza

Wang Yi, China’s Minister of Foreign Affairs, will chair a UN Security Council (UNSC) meeting in New York on the ongoing crisis in Gaza.
China, the current UNSC president, called the meeting scheduled for November 29. It comes as the two sides are looking into extending the temporary ceasefire that started last week to allow for the return of further Israeli hostages and Palestinian detainees.

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China-IMF Impasse in Sri Lanka “Has to be Broken, One Way or Another,” Says Debt Expert

Brad Setser, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and a noted sovereign debt expert, wrote a brief analysis of why the China Exim Bank's offer of a two-year debt moratorium is "insufficient". (The following transcript has been lightly ...

Amid Polycrisis, the IMF and the World Bank Should Do More to Stabilize the World Economy

By Justin Yifu Lin and Yan Wang The global economy is facing polycrisis: increasing climate change, Russia’s war in Ukraine and capital flight from emerging markets and developing countries, leading to declines in their foreign exchange reserves, local currency depreciation and ...

Qin Gang Should Hit the Reset Button on Africa-China Relations: Expert

Qin Gang is taking over as Foreign Minister at an inflection point in Africa-China relations. While Chinese investment transformed African skylines, the relationship has also hit some problems. These include sky-high debt for projects that didn’t necessarily deliver hoped-for development outcomes. ...