China Exports Seen Pushing Thai Growth Below 2% in 2026

Thai business leaders warn that China exports overcapacity, floods and U.S. tariffs could slow Thailand’s growth to just 1.6–2.0% in 2026.
Containers are prepared for export at the Laem Chabang deep-sea port in Chon Buri province, Thailand, on June 25, 2024. Thai business leaders warn that China exports overcapacity, floods and U.S. tariffs could slow Thailand’s growth to just 1.6–2.0% in 2026. (Photo by Nutthawat Wichieanbut / Bangkok Post / Bangkok Post via AFP)

Thai business leaders on Wednesday said China’s efforts to export their overproduction, combined with catastrophic flooding and the impact of U.S. tariffs, risk making the economy expand by only 1.6%–2.0% in 2026.

The warning came from the Joint Standing Committee on Commerce, Industry and Banking (JSCCIB), a grouping of major industries, banks and chambers of commerce.

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by Edwin Shri Bimo

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