Presidential Race in Honduras Puts China–Taiwan Diplomacy Back on the Line

Supporters of Honduran presidential candidate of the National Party, Nasry Asfura, celebrate after the first results of the presidential election in Tegucigalpa on November 30, 2025. (Photo by Lucas AGUAYO / AFP)

Sunday’s presidential election in Honduras could shift the diplomatic balance between China and Taiwan in Latin America. The two frontrunners in the election have pledged to break diplomatic ties with Beijing and reestablish them with Taiwan.

This follows the left-wing government of Xiomara Castro switching the country’s diplomatic relationship to China in 2023. She isn’t eligible to run, but her party ally Rixi Moncada vowed to maintain relations with the People’s Republic. She was in third place when the country went to the polls on Sunday.

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