Will Trump’s Paris Exit Turn China Into Indonesia’s Climate Partner?

A 2024 file image showing Jakarta skyscrapers shrouded in pollution. Indonesia is one of the world's most coal-dependent economies. (Photo by BAY ISMOYO / AFP)

The Trump administration’s decision to withdraw from the Paris Accord has raised global climate uncertainty, but Indonesia could be ground zero for its geopolitical impact. This is because of the country’s Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP) agreement with the G7.

The $20 billion agreement aimed at decarbonizing the Indonesian economy is co-led by the U.S. and Japan and would include both public and private money. Trump cutting climate support makes both kinds of funding less likely. This means transforming one of the world’s most coal-dependent economies could now depend on Chinese money and tech.

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